Complexity Primer
To unravel complexity requires us to prime our minds with a common repertoire of concepts.
Quick Reference on all Primer topics#
Written and reviewed by Students in Unravelling Complexity.
- Adaptive systems
- Attractors
- Behaviour
- Black swans
- Chaos
- Co-Design
- Cognitive bias
- Collapse
- Collective behaviour
- Complex Adaptive Systems
- Conceptual metaphor
- Conspiracy
- Context
- Context
- Country
- Crisis
- Culture
- Cynefin framework
- Delays
- Determinism
- Discourse
- Diversity
- Emergence
- Entropy
- Equality
- Equilibrium
- Estimation
- Evolution
- Feedback
- Fractals
- Framing
- Game theory
- Herd effect
- Hermenuetical circle
- Heuristics
- Homeostasis
- Identity
- Ignorance
- Initial conditions
- Innovation
- Interaction
- Interdisciplinarity
- Intersectionality
- Learning organisations
- Legacies
- Leverage points
- Living Culture
- Mental games
- Mental models
- Mess
- Narrative
- Natural capital
- Networks
- Non-linearity
- Occam's razor
- Patterns
- Precautionary Principle
- Prediction
- Randomness
- Reductionism
- Requisite variety
- Resilience
- Rights
- Risk
- Self-organisation
- Simplicity
- Social-Technical Intersection
- Songlines
- Storytelling
- Sustainability
- Synthesis
- Systems thinking
- Tipping points
- Transdisciplinarity
- Triangulation
- Uncertainty
- Unintended consequences
- Unknowns
- Visualisation
- Wicked problems
Go and Investigate!#
Adaptive systems#
systems that adapt to external changes
- Wikipedia page
- Murray Gell-Mann, Complex Adaptive Systems (a classic piece…)
Attractors#
areas that systems tend towards
- Wikipedia page - note: this is very maths
- Geoff Boeing’s article, Visual Analysis of Nonlinear Dynamical Systems: Chaos, Fractals, Self-Similarity and the Limits of Prediction
Behaviour#
the shape of the output of a system
- The Systems Thinker
- George Richardson’s, Getting Started with Behavior Over Time Graphs - *written to teach fifth
Black swans#
a metaphor for events that come as a surprise
- Wikipedia page
- The Black Swan by Nassim Nicholas Taleb. Prologue [PDF]
Chaos#
where the approximate future cannot be predicted
- Wikipedia page
- Gleick, Chaos Chapter 1- the Butterfly Effect [PDF]{.link-ext
Co-Design#
where a system/society/situation declines
Cognitive bias#
systematic non-normal judgement
- Cognitive Bias (Wikipedia)
- Amos Tversky and Daniel Kahneman, Judgement under uncertainty: Heuristics & Biases
- Cognitive Bias 101 by Peter Baumann (YouTube Video)
- 50 Cognitive Biases to be aware of so You Can be the Very Best Version of Yourself (Infographic by TitleMax)
Collapse#
where a system/society/situation declines
- Wikipedia summary
- Collapse by Jared Diamond Prologue [PDF]
Collective behaviour#
spontaneous behaviour of a group
- Wikipedia section on collective behaviour
- Complexity: A Guided Tour by Melanie Mitchell Prologue [PDF]
- Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds (Wikipedia)
Complex Adaptive Systems#
where a system/society/situation declines
Conceptual metaphor#
describing one thing in terms of another
- Wikipedia page on Conceptual Metaphors
- More than cool reason: a field guide to poetic metaphor by George Lakoff & Mark Turner Chapter 2 [PDF]
Conspiracy#
the situation around a problem of interest
- Wikipedia page on Conspiracy{.link-ext target=”_blank” }
Context#
the situation around a problem of interest
- Wikipedia page on Constructivism{.link-ext target=”_blank” }
Context#
the situation around a problem of interest
- Wikipedia page on Context{.link-ext target=”_blank” }
- Carl May, et al Implemetation, context and complexity{.link-ext target=”_blank” }
Country#
for Indigenous Australians, the culture, nature and the land
- Bruce Pascoe on Aboriginal agriculture Radio National
- NITV’s coverage of Nat’s Journey to Country NITV
- ABC’s Education package on Vincent Lingiari ABC Website ABC News Timeline
Crisis#
an unstable or dangerous situation
- Costanza’s After the Crisis: two possible futures PDF
- Wikipedia page on Crisis
Culture#
the social behaviour of human societies see also Living Culture
- Wikipedia page on Culture
- Understanding Environmental Values: A Cultural Theory Approach PDF
Cynefin framework#
a mapping of problem spaces from obvious to disorder
- Wikipedia page on the Cynefin framework
- A Leader’s Framework for Decision Making Harvard Business Review
Delays#
time lags in system responses
- Wikibooks page on control system delays on System Delays
Determinism#
that all events determined by previously existing causes
- Wikipedia page on Determinism{.link-ext target=”_blank” }
- Gleick, Chaos Chapter 1- the Butterfly Effect [PDF]{.link-ext
- See also: Conway’s Game of Life{.link-ext target=”_blank” }
Discourse#
the totality of codified language in a given field
- Wikipedia page on Discourse
- Mark Olssen’s article on Discourse, Complexity, Normativity: Tracing the elaboration of Foucault’s materialist concept of discourse{.link-ext target=”_blank” }
- Graham, L., Discourse analysis and the critical use of Foucalt
Diversity#
a broad range of possibilities or entities
- Wikipedia page (disambiguation){.link-ext target=”_blank” }
- Scott Page’s introduction to Diversity & Complexity{.link-ext target=”_blank” }
- Yin Paradies and Amanuel Elias on How racism and a lack of diversity can harm productivity in our workplace{.link-ext target=”_blank” }
- Page, S., 2011, Diversity and complexity. Princeton, N.J.: Princeton University Press
Emergence#
the ultimate behaviour of interacting parts
- Emergence (Wikipedia)
- Complexity: A Guided Tour by Melanie Mitchell Prologue [PDF]
- Emergence- How Stupid Things Become Smart Together
Entropy#
the tendency for a system to move towards equilibrium
- Wikipedia Introduction to Entropy
- Michio Kaku and Morgan Freeman Explain Entropy YouTube
- Charlie Lineweaver and Paul Davies provide an excellent discussion about entropy and complexity in Complexity and the Arrow of Time
- Arieh Ben-Naim’s, Discover Entropy and the Second Law of Thermodynamics Chapter 1{.link-ext target=”_blank” }
- History of Entropy{.link-ext target=”_blank” }
Equality#
where relationships are of equal value
- Wikipedia (disambiguation){.link-ext target=”_blank” }
- Equality as in rights, see the Australian Human Rights Commission
- Equality as in Maths (without Maths!) listen to The proof is in the pudding
Equilibrium#
the balancing of multiple conditions or inputs
- Scholarpedia article
- Biology Dictionary’s definition and example of Dynamic Equilibrium{.link-ext target=”_blank” }
Estimation#
an approximation of a value
- A clever way to estimate enormous numbers
- Maths and Modern Life{.link-ext target=”_blank” }, on RN’s Big Ideas
- Guesstimates and Estimation (Wikipedia)
Evolution#
the change of a system over time
- Darwin’s On The Origin of Species Wikipedia
- Bar-Yam, Making Things Work Patterns, Chapter 2{.link-ext target=”_blank” }
- Jonathan Keith’s article on The Conversation, How To Grow An Evolutionary Tree{.link-ext target=”_blank” }
Feedback#
a loop where the output effects the input of a system
- Peter Senge, The Fifth Discipline, Chapter 5- A shift of mind{.link-ext
- George Richardson’s, Feedback Mechanisms and Self-Regulatory Processes in the Social Sciences{.link-ext target=”_blank” }
Fractals#
self-similar replicating patterns
- Fractals Everywhere Ch1
- Wikipedia page
- Benoit Mendelbrot “Fractals and the Art of Roughness” (Ted Talk)
- Keith McGreggor “Fractal Thinking” (TED Talk)
Framing#
how we perceive or communicate reality
- Wikipedia page
- George Lakoff, Don’t Think of an Elephant
Game theory#
strategies for anticipating the outcome of a situation
- Wikipedia page
- Prisoner’s dilemma{.link-ext target=”_blank” } as a classic example of Game Theory
- Why do competitors open their stores next to one another? Jac de Haan on TED-ed (4 mins) a great introduction to Hotelling’s Law{.link-ext target=”_blank” }, explaining why similar shops set up next to one another YouTube
- Hendricks, V., Hansen, P. and Aumann, R. (2007). Game theory. [Copenhagen]: Automatic Press VIP.
Herd effect#
- Herders and their Mentality, by Luke 2020 EXEMPLAR
The herd mentality is a powerful social force
- Suggest a reading to include in the primer…
Hermenuetical circle#
an understanding of the whole and the parts [and reverse]
- Wikipedia page
- See also:, The Blind Men and the Elephant
- for a systems perspective, Both the Parts and the Whole: Leadership and Systems Thinking{.link-ext target=”_blank” }
- Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy
Heuristics#
experience-based methods for approximation
- Wikipedia page
- Amos Tversky and Daniel Kahneman, Judgement under uncertainty: Heuristics & Biases
- Heuristics and biases in decision making, explained (YouTube)
Homeostasis#
Maintaining stability in unstable conditions
Identity#
(depends on the context and definition)
- Wikipedia’s disambiguation page on Identity{.link-ext target=”_blank” }
- (Marketing) Americus Reed II and Lisa E. Bolton’s article on The Complexity of Identity{.link-ext target=”_blank” }
- (Social in-groups) Roccas and Brewer’s Social Identity Complexity{.link-ext target=”_blank” }
Ignorance#
a lack of knowledge, intentional or otherwise
- Mike Smithson, Ignorance Studies PDF
- Wikipedia page
Initial conditions#
the starting conditions of a system
- Gleick, Chaos Chapter 1- the Butterfly Effect [PDF]{.link-ext
Innovation#
application of better solutions to new requirements
- Wikipedia page
- Frieman and May’s Navigating Contact: Tradition and Innovation in Australian Contact Rock Art International Journal of Historical Archaeology
- Roger’s Diffusion of Innovation, PDF
Interaction#
the actions of one object on another
- Wikipedia page
- Yaneer Bar-Yam’s, Making Things Work, Patterns, Chapter 2{.link-ext target=”_blank” }
Interdisciplinarity#
working together in a way that integrates different disciplines
- Wikipedia entry on Interdisciplinarity{.link-ext target=”_blank” }
- Defining Interdisciplinary Studies{.link-ext target=”_blank” }
- Gabriele Bammer’s, Should we discipline Interdisciplinarity?{.link-ext target=”_blank” }
Intersectionality#
recognition of different aspects of a person’s identity
- Wikipedia’s entry on Intersectionality{.link-ext target=”_blank” }
Learning organisations#
organisations that learn from previous situations
- Wikipedia entry on Learning Organisations{.link-ext target=”_blank” }
- Peter Senge’s The Fifth Discipline, Chapter 4{.link-ext target=”_blank” } on learning organisations
Legacies#
ideas and artefacts that stand the test of time
- Panich’s Archeologies of Persistence: Reconsidering the Legacies of Colonialism in Native North America (PDF){.link-ext target=”_blank” }
Leverage points#
places to intervene in a system
- Wikipedia entry on 12 Leverage Points{.link-ext target=”_blank” }
- Donella Meadow’s original article- Leverage Points: places to intervene in a system{.link-ext target=”_blank”
Living Culture#
a culture with a rich history and current practice
- Tyson Yunkaporta’s Sand Talk{.link-ext target=”_blank” }
Mental games#
a situation that is confused and full of problems
- Game Theory{.link-ext target=”_blank” }
- Cognitive Bias{.link-ext target=”_blank” }]
Mental models#
the thought-process about how something works
- Wikipedia entry on Mental Models{.link-ext target=”_blank” }
- Barry Richmond’s introduction to Tracing Connections{.link-ext target=”_blank” }
Mess#
a situation that is confused and full of problems
- A messy desk encourages a creative mind, study finds{.link-ext target=”_blank” }
- What a Mess: Chaos and Creativity{.link-ext target=”_blank” }
Narrative#
the sequence of a story or report
Natural capital#
the world’s stock of natural resources
- Wikipedia entry on Natural Capital{.link-ext target=”_blank” }
- Hawkin, Lovins and Hunter Natural Capitalism, Chapter 3{.link-ext target=”_blank” }
- Voork, V., and H. Venema, The Natural Capital Approach A Concept Paper{.link-ext target=”_blank” }
Networks#
a system of nodes and links
- Wikipedia page
- Atsushi Tero et al, Rules for Biologically Inspired Adaptive Network Design{.link-ext target=”_blank” }
- Bar-Yam, Making Things Work, Chapter 3 on Networks and Collective Memory{.link-ext target=”_blank” }
Non-linearity#
where the change in input does not proportionally change the output
- Wikipedia page
- David Suzuki on exponential growth (YouTube)
- Donella Meadows, Thinking in Systems (Section on Non-Linearity )
- Larry Hardesty “Explained: Linear and nonlinear systems” MIT News Office
Occam's razor#
a principle for selecting solutions that rely on the fewest assumptions
- Wikipedia page on Occam’s Razor
- Stanford’s Encyclopedia of Philosophy entry on Simplicity{.link-ext target=”_blank” }
- Gibbs, P. (1996). What is Occam’s Razor?{.link-ext target=”_blank” }
Patterns#
the elements of a pattern repeat in a predictable manner
- Patterns on Wikipedia{.link-ext target=”_blank” }
Precautionary Principle#
a response to reduce harm where there is a lack of evidence
- Cass Sunstein, 2002-2003, The Paralyzing Principle{.link-ext target=”_blank” }
- How we edit science part 4: how to talk about risk, and words and images not to use{.link-ext target=”_blank” }
- Avoiding a Precautionary Principle for the Internet{.link-ext target=”_blank” }
Prediction#
to be able to forecast an uncertain event
- Wikipedia page on Prediction
- Stanford’s Encyclopedia of Philosophy entry on Simplicity{.link-ext target=”_blank” }
Randomness#
Randomness takes up the infinite space adjacent to unpredictability
- Predicting a die throw{.link-ext target=”_blank” }
- Fooled by Randomness{.link-ext target=”_blank” }
- Spotify’s super shuffle{.link-ext target=”_blank” }
- An. A. Muchnik & A. L. Semenov, On the Role of the Law of Large Numbers in the Theory of Randomness{.link-ext target=”_blank” }
Reductionism#
that the behaviour of a system can be explained by its parts
- Putnam H. (1973). Reductionism and the Nature of Psychology. Cognition, 2(1), 131-146.
- McClamrock R. (1991). Marr’s Three Levels: A Re-evaluation. Minds and Machines
Requisite variety#
the minimum number of alternative required for a successful outcome
Resilience#
the capacity of a system to resist change
- Ecological Resilience and Organisational Resilience and Regime Shift (Wikipedia)
- Stockholm Resilience Centre’s explanation of What is Resilience?{.link-ext target=”_blank” }
- What is Resilience? (YouTube)
Rights#
principles of freedom or entitlement
- Wikipedia page{.link-ext target=”_blank” }
- Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy{.link-ext target=”_blank” }
- Meg Good in The Conversation, Should Australia recognise the human right to a healthy environment?{.link-ext target=”_blank” }
Risk#
the likelihood of gaining or losing something of value
- Risk{.link-ext target=”_blank” } (Wikipedia)
- Chapter 26, Coping and Managing under Uncertainty PDF
- Against the Gods: The Remarkable Story of Risk by Peter L. Bernstein
Self-organisation#
a system that organises spontaneously
- Wikipedia entry on swarm intelligence{.link-ext target=”_blank” }
- Fleischer’s article on ‘Foundations of Swarm Intelligence’{.link-ext target=”_blank” }
- PixelBots video{.link-ext target=”_blank” }, demonstrating self-organisation
Simplicity#
- Summary on simplicity, by Daniel 2018
- Puzzling Complexity Using Simplicity, by Madeleine C 2019 EXEMPLAR
- Simplicity is good... wait no it's bad, by Sabi 2020 EXEMPLAR
tending towards the state of being simple
Social-Technical Intersection#
The interaction between society and technology
- Pfaffenberger’s Social Anthropology of Technology PDF
- Majcman’s Reflection on Gender and Technology Studies: In What State is the Art? PDF
- Wikipedia page
Songlines#
Indigenous knowledge systems for navigation
- Christine Judith Nicholls, Songlines: Tracking the Seven Sisters is a must-visit exhibition for all Australians on The Conversation
- NITV’s Learn Indigenous Australian creation stories- ‘Songlines on Screen’ multimedia features{.link-ext target=”_blank”
Storytelling#
- Summary on storytelling, by Clare 2018
- Behind the Story, by Emma 2019 EXEMPLAR
the cultural activity of telling stories
- Wikipedia page
- Ira Glass on Storytelling Video{.link-ext target=”_blank” }
- Mead, G, 2014, Telling the Story- The Heart & Soul of Successful Leadership, Wiley & Sons, San
Sustainability#
the property of system to continue indefinitely
- Harris on Seeking Sustainability in an Age of Complexity PDF
- William McDonough on Cradle to Cradle
- Wikipedia page
Synthesis#
the cognitive ability to merge multiple ideas or worldviews
Systems thinking#
an approach for thinking about systems principles
- Donella Meadows, Thinking in Systems: A Primer, Introduction, and The Basics{.link-ext target=”_blank” }
- Daniel Kim, Introduction to Systems Thinking{.link-ext target=”_blank” }
Tipping points#
levels that change the behaviour of a system when traversed
- Threshold limit value (Wikipedia)
- Planetary Boundaries (read Will Steffen’s 2015 paper{.link-ext target=”_blank” } or watch the TED Talk )
- Geoff Mead, Telling the Story- The Heart & Soul of Successful Leadership, Wiley, San Francisco,
Transdisciplinarity#
a strategy that crosses many disciplinary boundaries
Triangulation#
using multiple sources to determine the truth
- Wikipedia page
- SAGE reference entry on Triangulation{.link-ext target=”_blank” } (ANU Login required)
Uncertainty#
the absence of certainty in a given situation
- Uncertainty{.link-ext target=”_blank” } (Wikipedia)
- The Many Faces and Masks of Uncertainty by Michael Smithson
Unintended consequences#
the unforeseen effects of an action
- Wikipedia entry on Unintended Consequences){.link-ext target=”_blank” }
- Can Anything Save Us from Unintended Consequences? , explainer by Stuart Vyse
- 10 Fascinating Examples of Unintended Consequences by Simon Whistler (YouTube)
Unknowns#
variables or factors with incomplete information
Visualisation#
a visual representation of a system
Wicked problems#
problems that are resistant to resolution
- Wicked Problems (Wikipedia)
- Brown, Valerie A., John A. Harris, Jacqueline Y Russell 2010, Tackling wicked problems through the transdisciplinary imagination, Earthscan (Chapters 1 and 2) PDF{.link-new-win target=”_blank”}
- Alford, J., & Head, B. W. (2017). Wicked and less wicked problems: a typology and a contingency framework.{.link-new-win target=”_blank”}